Media Analysis Archive

Forecasting with Internet Search Data – Liberty Street Economics

A January 4 article from the New York Fed’s blog, Liberty Street Economics, suggests that Internet search statistics can be used as coincident indicators, demonstrating correlations between keyword search frequency and time-lagged economics data releases. The authors also suggest that Internet search statistics may be useful leading indicators for the movements of financial markets in the presence of language barriers or other impediments to efficient information aggregation.

Forecasting with Internet Search Data – Liberty Street Economics.

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Chart of the Day 2010/05/13: News Perception

The Pew Research Center for the People & the Press runs an interesting and unique weekly survey called the News Interest Index. In their most recent weekly installment, they noted that the proportion of respondents who reported hearing bad news about the financial markets jumped 11% over the month prior. (Be aware that their most recent poll occurred over a three-day period following last Thursday’s market hiccup. Their three-day index methdology is reasonably considered a fairly volatile measure of monthly news perception but should reflect those three days fairly accurately.) The proportions of Americans hearing good, bad, and mixed news about the economy in general appear little changed this year.

You can read the full report, along with some time series (in pdf format) on their website.

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